Tesla Stock News and Forecast: TSLA set for more losses after Jackson Hole and stock split

  • Tesla falls as global equity markets roll over.
  • TSLA stock split goes through with shares now trading sub-$300.
  • TSLA is looking for direction around the 200-day moving average.

Tesla (TSLA) stock fell on Friday in line with the broad equity market sell-off. Jay Powell turned extra hawkish on equities and did the job of taking out any remaining bulls. Tesla with its larger retail following was always likely to be a holdout, so it proved on Friday with it outperforming a stumbling Nasdaq. The index lost 4%, while Tesla only sold off less than 3%. This may have had something to do wit the 3:1 stock split, which always appeals to human emotions. 

Tesla stock news

The more negative read-through is the continued slide into the close for all equities and Tesla. The stock opened at $297.40 and even staged a brief rally but was quickly rejected. From there it was one-way traffic to the sell side with Tesla closing at more or less the low of the day. This usually leads to follow on selling in the next session. Tesla is down over 2% in Monday’s premarket, so it looks like this particular trend is holding for now. The inflation reduction act may have given a kicker to green energy and EV stocks, but despite this we see too many headwinds in the form of a general market sell-off. 

Tesla stock forecast 

First, the downtrend remains in place. We now have a flag formation between $315 and $281. A break lower targets $240 and a break higher targets $350. Currently, Tesla is in neutral as it searches for direction around the 200-day moving average. We feel the downside has a higher probability due to the bearish divergence from the Relative Strength Index (RSI) last week and the now the negative backdrop for equities. However, we need a move lower from here to confirm this, so we would look for a break of $281 to confirm. This confirms the double top at $314 and the bearish divergence we got from the second top at $314. That would then target the lower end of the range with some volume profile support at $240 to $220 before an obvious test of $200 if Tesla continues to move lower. 

Tesla chart, daily

The author is short Tesla.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *